中国政府将要发行1万5千亿元债券来抵消2千亿美元的外汇储备

alex1031

外汇储备是国家的，何来回购之说？不过要承认现在决策层金融宏观调控的手段和花样是越来越多、层出不穷，利率，国债，银行准备金率，再结合对银行贷款、房地产市场和外汇制度的监管监控。就不知道最后的效果如何，这个需要时间来检验。

黑山老妖

原帖由 cn_yy 于 2007-2-5 12:12 发表应该利息不会有上升，如果我的猜想不错的话，这些债券应该是银行来购买的，作为保证金的一部分，来置换出银行手上的外汇，减少银行外汇的压力，让银行的外汇有一条出路，降低银行的外汇经营风险。自从中国 ... 谢谢cn_yy兄。有点明白了。
+++++

alex1031

原帖由 青山75 于 2007-2-5 12:32 发表
这些钱如果发给穷人，扩大内需，也许对中国经济作用更大。
2000亿美元投资国外？就那帮官僚能管好才怪。
学费总要缴的，只要那些银子最后没进他们自己的腰包就行。增强与世界经济的紧密联系程度对国家经济的长远稳定发展有一定的积极作用

alex1031

同意青山的观点，国内下一步就应该涨工资了，尤其是中低收入阶层的工资，那样才能实实在在地改善人民生活水平，有效拉动内需，增强国民消费水平。

cn_yy

原帖由 黑山老妖 于 2007-2-5 12:35 发表谢谢cn_yy兄。有点明白了。
+++++ 只是信口胡说，有可能是误人子弟，呵呵

小日子

原帖由 希曼 于 2007-2-5 12:15 发表
不是学经济学的，偶是一知半解啊。。。还是一头雾水。。。汗。。。 欣赏朋友的签名，欣赏的一塌糊涂。。。

Thunder

The supply of money will increase. The money they borrow is people's saving. Currently, both property and stock market are too high and peoples investment will slide. But there are still many reasons cause inflation and people's saving will keep increasing. Saving is dead money in china in short future. Using this kind of money have no difference with printing new money. Using this money to buy USD give commercial banks more money to "play" with. Until these debts are due, I do not think government and bank can really "earn" money to pay back. Then they will print new money. There must be some reason government would rather borrow than print new money, maybe it is less poision and the pressure can release slower.

Thunder

And since RMB is rising in the near future, selling USD to commercial bank and let them share the risk with centre bank.

clur

这么折腾一圈有什么意义吗？直接把2000亿的外汇储备拨给新公司海外投资就行了啊，就象一直以来做的那样。不过就是把原来的一个部门独立变成一个公司而已。另外这消息里兑换的汇率是7.5：1，似乎不现实吧？如果政府这样做了，那就等于又一次3%的升值，股市和房地产就会......[ 本帖最后由 clur 于 2007-2-5 14:14 编辑 ]

Thunder

Due to the pressure form outside, I think the government will allow RMB to rise. So they can not print new money because it will let RMB down and harm foreign investors.  Borrowing is the best way for them to get money to use. And the hot money will have enough time to make money in China and retreat. Mr. Hu Do not need to worry too long.