问个问题，下周一，澳元是跌还是升？

shdanding · 发表于 2014-11-4 17:04:33

一天的涨跌扔个硬币试试吧\^O^/

Jack1688 · 发表于 2014-11-4 18:07:09

本帖最后由 Jack1688 于 2014-10-19 13:36 编辑 Aussie is in correction after a big sell off. Sideline is the best trade at moment. chart here: http://prntscr.com/4xjh0ySell high is a good way for + $ before Xmas at 0.9210 -- 9180 or 0.9115 or 0.8930.next week, aud-usd is up to run in D ? if D fail to cap, then, run 0.91 or 0.92. range bound is killing small traders or called clear table after a big dinner.

悉尼好 · 发表于 2014-11-4 18:29:29

Jack1688 发表于 2014-10-19 13:32
Aussie is in correction after a big sell off. Sideline is the best trade at moment. http://prntscr. ...
那个图完全是自己吹自己。用类似的方法，能预测9月的断崖下跌吗？

Jack1688 · 发表于 2014-11-4 19:58:29

悉尼好发表于 2014-10-19 13:35
那个图完全是自己吹自己。用类似的方法，能预测9月的断崖下跌吗？
没有吹, 仅仅是交流一下, 过几个月, 你会知道了.Forecast of fx movement is a hard issue in market place or in academy of economics. I can load paper for you to study. I don't know how to upload pdf file here.In 2013, aussie dropped huge, then, pullback to 50%. Then, drop again. Before this sept drop, aussie pullback to above 61.8%. Then, breakdown a range, Then, this big drop unfold. What do last 2 weekly candles tell you? range or continue to down trend? If aussie moves above 0.8900, then, double bottom on daily chart.Past sellers' stoploss at 0.8770 were killed out. So, no real sellers are in market. Where are their selling orders at moment? If you are big guys, where do you like to put your selling order? 0.92? or 0.8750 (in middle of small range)?

悉尼好 · 发表于 2014-11-4 20:15:10

Jack1688 发表于 2014-10-19 14:08
没有吹, 仅仅是交流一下, 过几个月, 你会知道了.Forecast of fx movement is a hard issue in market p ...
听好外汇市场，最终不是什么trader决定的，中期来看，最终还是基本面导致的外汇供需关系决定的。息差减小，矿业投资断崖下跌，大宗货物价格崩盘，中国经济放缓，这些都打压澳元。
唯一支撑澳元的，是日本为首的投资人对澳洲2年5年10年债的买盘。现在波动性起来以后，这也受到压制。年底以前，在85-88美分波动，明年一年，跌破80美分。记住：30年均价是78美分。现在的下跌是105美分开始的中期下降通道，这点完全没有变过。btw, use your bloody native language if you couldn't even coherently express yourself, your english sucks.

悉尼好 · 发表于 2014-11-4 21:35:47

很多人开一个赌博性质的外汇交易帐号，以为自己是参与市场了，很好笑。各位的参与，说的好听点，叫增加了流动性，说的直接点，各位就是自带干粮的炮灰而已。外汇市场，决定因素从来不是你们这些画画线，看看图能玩的。嘴巴要老的回答我一句话：这里谁外汇炒出一套无贷上海或者悉尼的房子了？不要自己和自己开玩笑。你用一家一当去对赌经济走势，唯一寄托是不三不四两张所谓图表，可笑吗？